FSTA Announces 2009 Projection Accuracy Challenge
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The Fantasy Sports Trade Association announces requests for submissions from all interested in participating in the 2009 Fantasy Football Projection Accuracy Challenge. The FSTA (fsta.org), in conjunction with the Fantasy Football Librarian (fflibrarian.com) and Donnie Campbell (themostcredible.com), will be analyzing fantasy football projections and position rankings from participants. The projections and position rankings will be compared with actual player statistics at the end of the 2009 season, and awards will be presented based on the accuracy of those predictions.
Rules:
Submissions will be accepted immediately; however the rankings and projections (in any verifiable format) must be received prior to the first game of the season, September 10th, 2009 8:30 PM EST. Each entrant has two weeks after the Sep 10th Deadline (Sept 24th) to submit the projections in the FSTA Format (see FSTA Template). Please note that the projections in the Template much match the projections that were submitted prior to the initial deadline. Additionally late entrants will be considered if it is verifiable that their rankings or projections were published and publicly available prior to the deadline.
Player rankings and statistics will be judged for the following positions: Quarterback, Running Back, Wide Receiver, and Tight End. Team Defenses, Kickers, and Individual Defensive Players will not be used due to non-standard scoring.
The FSTA will present two Awards (Player Rankings and Player Projections) for the Fantasy Football 2009 Projection Accuracy Challenge. All entrants are welcome to participate in either challenge or both.
1. Projected Player Rankings Award
Accuracy of projected player rankings by position compared with year-end rankings (in order of projected vs. actual fantasy points). The Top 25 quarterbacks, 50 running backs, 50 wide receivers, and 20 tight ends will be evaluated.
Scoring/Ranking will be based on the following system:
Passing Yards (25 yards per point)
Passing Touchdowns (4 points)
Rushing Yards (10 yards per point)
Reception Yards (10 yards per point)
Rushing & Receiving Touchdowns (6 points)
Interceptions (-2)
Fumbles (-2)
It is encouraged that rankings be submitted based on this scoring system.
2. Projected Player Statistics Award
A spreadsheet template consisting of 102 Fantasy relevant Players has been provided to collect the following statistical categories.
|
PASSING |
RUSHING |
RECEPTIONS |
||||||||
|
ATT’s |
Comp |
Yards |
TD’s |
INT |
ATT’s |
Yards |
TD’s |
Rec |
Yards |
TD’s |
Submitters must fill in projected statistics for all players on this spreadsheet. Download the template at http://www.fsta.org/awards/FSTA_Fantasy_Football_Projections_Template.xls
An award will be given for accuracy of projected player statistics compared with actual year-end player statistics. Accuracy will be judged based on a combination of relative scoring (entrant closest to actual statistic vs. other entrants) and range based scoring (variance between actual statistics vs. projections for each stat category) using the tables below.
PASSING
|
Attempts |
Completions |
Yards |
TD’s |
Interceptions |
||||||||||
|
From |
To |
Pts |
From |
To |
Pts |
From |
To |
Pts |
From |
To |
Pts |
From |
To |
Pts |
|
0 |
15 |
10 |
0 |
9 |
10 |
0 |
95 |
10 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
|
16 |
30 |
6 |
10 |
18 |
6 |
96 |
190 |
6 |
2 |
4 |
6 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
|
31 |
45 |
4 |
19 |
27 |
4 |
191 |
285 |
4 |
5 |
7 |
4 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
|
46 |
60 |
2 |
28 |
36 |
2 |
286 |
380 |
2 |
8 |
9 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
|
61 |
999 |
-2 |
37 |
999 |
-2 |
381 |
9999 |
-2 |
10 |
99 |
-2 |
4 |
99 |
-2 |
RUSHING
|
Attempts |
Yards |
TD’s |
||||||
|
From |
To |
Pts |
From |
To |
Pts |
From |
To |
Pts |
|
0 |
11 |
10 |
0 |
45 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
|
12 |
22 |
6 |
46 |
90 |
6 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
|
23 |
33 |
4 |
91 |
135 |
4 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
|
34 |
44 |
2 |
136 |
180 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
|
45 |
999 |
-2 |
181 |
9999 |
-2 |
4 |
99 |
-2 |
Receptions
|
Completions |
Yards |
TD’s |
||||||
|
From |
To |
Pts |
From |
To |
Pts |
From |
To |
Pts |
|
0 |
5 |
10 |
0 |
45 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
|
6 |
9 |
6 |
46 |
90 |
6 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
|
10 |
14 |
4 |
91 |
135 |
4 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
|
15 |
18 |
2 |
136 |
180 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
|
19 |
99 |
-2 |
181 |
999 |
-2 |
4 |
99 |
-2 |
Ranking Submissions and Projection Submissions should be sent, by September 10, to Sara Holladay at fflibrarian@gmail.com, with a copy to Donnie Campbell at dc@themostcredible.com.
Awards will be presented at the Winter 2010 FSTA Conference. In order to encourage participation, final results will NOT be published, except for the names of all entrants and the names of the highest ranking entrants (approximately the top third).
Judges: Donnie Campbell, www.themostcredible.com; Sara Holladay, www.fflibrarian.com. For questions on the contest contact Megan Van Patten, megan@fsta.org.
All Submissions are welcome but your organization must be an FSTA member to be eligible to win. The organization with the highest score will be contacted prior to the Winter FSTA Conference. The Fantasy Sports Trade Association has been the voice of the fantasy sports industry since 1999. Learn more about the organization and become a member at fsta.org.